Welcome
Satoshi Asset Management is for individual long term Bitcoin investors who want the research, monitoring, and decision support that has traditionally been reserved for institutions and ultra-high-net-worth individuals. This access is enabled by leveraging emerging AI tools to build Family Office style functionality for solo investors.
This has been my solo project since January 2026. I have been building the tools I wanted personally but could not ship until recent advances in agentic software development made that possible without a traditional engineering team. SAM is now emerging from stealth to gather feedback from Beta testers and refine the product.
The full Family Office vision is the ongoing mission. The first shipped product is the Daily Signal Report: a daily Bitcoin market brief.
The Daily Signal Report is built for long term Bitcoin investors who are active market participants, and for the AI agents that will increasingly read the market on their behalf. It is an algorithmically generated, Bitcoin focused financial markets newsletter, published every day around 8:00 AM ET including weekends and holidays.
The aim is to put the relevant data affecting BTCUSD in one place, tuned for what is most likely to matter for price action over the next 7 days. Some mornings a light skim is enough for orientation. A full read is designed to take about 15 minutes for a deeper pass on the factors moving the market that day. The structure prioritizes the most relevant data with concise analysis.
Over time I expect more of the readership to be intermediated by AI agents rather than humans alone. The report is designed so those agents get the market and narrative sentiment context they need to stay informed about Bitcoin every day. Compiling and validating that data takes real work. The goal is presenting the highest data quality I can ship at a price lower than rebuilding the stack yourself.
Narrative Tracker. This section is meant to free long term Bitcoin investors from the need to doomscroll social media just to feel informed about market narratives and conditions. Each day it curates 9 narrative themes across 3 subcategories, assembled by scraping X news feeds algorithmically.
Minority Report. This is the section for readers who want to watch how frontier AI models handle complex, multi variable financial conditions via a 7 day forward looking market state forecast. After the data, analysis, and Narrative Tracker are assembled, that partial report is sent in parallel to the flagship models from Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, and Google. Each model writes a steel-man paragraph for the Bull (up), Crab (sideways), and Bear (down) scenarios looking 7 days ahead, then assigns a probability to each. This is still an experiment and should not be used as the basis for financial decisions. SAM publishes each model's Brier score so predictive skill is visible. Current results clearly say: do not place bets on this. As stronger models arrive, SAM is built to ride those capability jumps. If a future model becomes statistically useful for prediction, that output will not stay at the current $21/month price point.
Four stages, run every day. The short version: collect overnight and through the morning, assemble and fact-check, send the draft to four models blind, then publish - for about ten dollars in variable cost.
- Collect. Prior evening: macro, equities, and FRED data. Morning: BTC and on-chain, CoinGlass and DefiLlama. Grok pulse roughly every 3 hours. Narrative Tracker X harvests run across the day.
- Assemble (the DSR and Narrative Tracker, before the Vibe Check). ~7:30 AM generation: data tiles → quality gate → Macro Context (written by Fable 5.1) → Narrative Tracker built from the squashed Grok harvests → commentaries stripped → then the four-model regime pass. Fact-check gates run throughout. Executive Summary and HTML are produced after.
- Vibe Check (Minority Report + SAM Consensus). Four frontier seats read the assembled draft blind, in parallel: Fable 5.1 (Anthropic), Astra 6 (OpenAI), Grok 4.7 (xAI), Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google). Each steel-mans Bull, Crab, and Bear and assigns probabilities. A Quant seat synthesizes the SAM Consensus. Brier scores are published. This is a technical experiment, not financial advice.
- Cost (one full edition, variable only). Measured variable cost averages about $10 per edition - upstream intelligence ~$5.26, edition generation ~$4.38 including the Stage-5 verifier. Most of the dollar is continuous harvest and verification, not "one Claude essay."
The mission remains building out Family Office style functionality for the individual long term Bitcoin investor and active market participant. Internally I am working on algorithmic trading research and staying on top of AI agentic capabilities, which is a full-time job by itself.
Publicly, the priority is to listen during Beta Testing of the Daily Signal Report and keep improving the product guided by readers. The next public product will be the Weekly Signal Report, taking lessons from the Daily and applying them to a weekly timeframe. Its goal will be market regime identification, with forward-looking price-range predictions aimed 30 days out.
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Built by Marcus
